“South Africa, in the 1970s, built six atomic bombs in the face of the Soviet threat and the Angolan War; with the end of the Cold War and the reduction of the threat, it dismantled them. Iran follows the reverse path: the two recent wars have intensified the threat. The link is clear: a reduction in threat brought disarmament; an increase in it strengthens the logic of crossing the nuclear threshold..”

“What made America the world’s superpower was the soft aspect of the American Dream, which was the dominant hegemon in the minds of people around the world as the embodiment of prosperity; development; justice and freedom. This mindset is rapidly eroding in the world, and America, without this dominance over the minds of people worldwide as the symbol of their aspirations, can no longer be the dominant power in any way. A point that Fukuyama and Acemoglu have also addressed in their new books.”

“The attack by America and the regime on Iran, and Iran’s heroic response to it, occurred precisely at the moment when the world was trying to quietly set down the heavy burden of the expansionary fiscal policies following COVID and the Ukraine war; this war nullified that effort. France is one of the examples..”

“On the campaign trail, Trump repeatedly asks voters to imagine his name appearing on the 2026 ballot. But the reality of Republican Party campaign spending tells a very different story. Of every $100 spent on party advertising, only $1 has been devoted to directly supporting Trump. This stark gap between his fervent claims and the party’s actual behavior suggests that Trump has increasingly become less of an asset and more of a burden and political liability for Republicans. At the same time, his political standing in the United States is weakening at a troubling pace, while the party is gradually distancing itself from him.”

“In the past two weeks, comments by Chinese officials regarding the Strait of Hormuz have shown a noticeable decline. The reason for this reduction is Beijing’s belief in preserving Iran’s geopolitical position against America. Although the Chinese have suffered losses due to the Strait of Hormuz, they consider their own losses negligible in comparison to America’s losses and the blow to its prestige.”

“During the concurrent visits of Lavrov and Asim Munir to Tehran, virtually all of Iran’s decision-making bodies demonstrated a unified and coordinated stance. The Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council explicitly informed the Pakistani side that the transfer of nuclear materials or the initiation of nuclear negotiations—as a prerequisite for any dialogue—is unacceptable; instead, the fulfillment of Tehran’s seven previously stated conditions was emphasized. The crux of the matter is that while the Americans insist on nuclear negotiations and securing tangible concessions, they remain unwilling to offer fundamental concessions—such as the complete lifting of sanctions. They seek to extract major concessions in exchange for merely easing the blockade and releasing a portion of frozen assets—a position that faces total rejection from Tehran, as, in the view of Iran, such measures no longer constitute significant concessions.”